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The Unseen Editor continues to chide me for my tendencies toward spouting standard National Palestine Radio (NPR) style agitprop, and wonders what happened to my pre-hiatus (or was it post-hiatus) project of trying to sharpen a "winning agenda" for the Democratic nominee (whomever that might be). Well, to be sure, some things will continue to need to be said, like just how fucked up Afghanistan is becoming while we largely stand around and watch; I will continue to try to comment on the Israeli-Palestinian situation, if events there warrant. And I will (hopefully) get back to the popular blog reviews one of these days.
But right now, we seem to be at a lull in the world-- the President is on one of his endless vacations, Iraq is stabilizing at "only" one dead U.S. military member every two or three days, and talk of invading Syria or Iraq (or even North Korea) is lulling, its time to go back to that political project. What follows is my one or two sentence assessment of the candidates (the five "officially announced" Democrats with a chance-- in alphabetical order, Dean, Edwards, Gephardt, Kerry and Lieberman) and a link to their official campaigns, and a brief assessment of President Bush and a link to his campaign. When and if General Clark officially jumps in, I will do the same for him. Full disclosure: my current favorite is John Edwards, based on the intangible "electability"; if Clark jumps in, I may reassess this. Nonetheless, with the exception of Joe Lieberman, I believe any of the other serious Democratic candidates would make excellent presidents, and certainly be vast improvements over the incumbent. Over time, I will refer to their official positions on the issues, and
try to sharpen some of them-- I will point out things I like and would suggest that other candidates adopt.
In the end, as we complain about Bush-Rove dirty tricks, or stupidity of voting Americans, this campaign will be won with a positive message, and in my humble opinion, on the issues. Fear of putting forth a strong agenda that differs from the President's will result in certain defeat. Comments to steer me in this project (or to dissuade me from it!) will be welcome.
President George W. Bush has governed as if he won by a landslide. Despite "compassionate conservative" rhetoric and a so-called liberal media willing to call him a wishy washy moderate (like his father), he is nothing of the kind. He has governed to the hard right, favoring tax cuts for upper income strata over almost any other policy. His foreign policy has been a ballsy "do it alone" strategy. Like him or hate him, he is not his father: he is decisive. In my humble opinion, continuing weak economic performance should more than offset any perceived national security advantage he may have (even pulling out the kitchen sink of a Ground Zero convention).
The Democrats have a lot to learn from his breezy, folksy style , without having to concede key points on substance.
Howard Dean, the former Vermont governor, combines a panoply of positions, from being a fiscal conservative, a strong NRA rating, and a social "moderate" who enacted the nation's first (and only) "civil union" statute for gays, Dean's campaign is defined by his passion-- more specifically, his anger-- toward both President Bush, and sometimes, toward his fellow Democrats. The inevitable "Northeastern liberal elitist" charge will follow, but the label does not fit neatly on Dean (a medical doctor who, like President Bush, grew up rasonably affluent and attended Yale). Dean is a prudent governor with an appealing record, and some good ideas on health care, among other things, such as his opposition to the Iraq war; his anger turns on activists (and his grassroots movement has been unexpectedly strong). But if he keeps the anger up, he will just turn off voters. See above, about sunny message.
Senator John Edwards of North Carolina is my favorite, based on "electability". He cannot be tarred as an elitist Northeastern liberal because... he is not from the Northeast. The last three Democrats (four counting Al Gore) who won presidential elections were from below the Mason-Dixon line. Its not fair, but its a big advantage to put the Southern states in play. Especially important against President Bush, who is popular there for his "moral" positions, and his railing against big government even while he expands it. Edwards is a po' boy (ah, those humble roots!) who became a trial lawyer by background, who did fabulously well with it, and ran for senator (he's in his first term). He may have a handicap with "experience", but he is a fast study, and his presentation is improving, and so far, he at least is setting out an economic vision. Although he may not even win his own state, he may not have to.
Dick Gephardt, the former House Minority Leader from Missouri, is growing on me. While I always wrote him off as a knee-jerk protectionist who pandered to whoever was there, he is starting to sound statesmanlike on many things, and he has a solid (even if unworkably expensive) health plan, and is presenting a decent moderate agenda. He comes from a key border state, and is the most experienced in Washington of the "serious" candidates. Despite his national experience, my impression right now is that he would be a relative longshot.
Senator John Kerry of Massachusetts has a professional organization, a long, solid record in the senate, and also gets to say he was a war-hero in Vietnam later turned anti-Vietnam War activist (he even may have made Nixon's enemies list!) He is married to Theresa Heinz (widow of the late Pennsylvania senator and ketchup heir). He, of course, is the classic target of being tarred as a "Northeastern elitist liberal", which I personally think is a huge problem. But he is a tough guy, with a far more conservative record than would be portrayed, and in my opinion, will be formidable either for the President or the other Democratic candidates. Even if he does not get the top spot, he would or could be helpful as a Vice-Presidential candidate.
Senator Joe Lieberman of Connecticut may have the best current name recognition as Al Gore's running mate, but that's it. So far, his campaign has not caught on in terms of grassroots, or fundraising, though he still has that name recognition. On issues, he panders and moralizes; as I said-- a sunny message is required, and I'm not sure a scold like Lieberman is the appropriate messenger. Further, while he's not a "Northeastern liberal elite" member (he too attended Yale), its because he's not liberal. He is a "DLC" Democrat-- in my opinion, GOP-lite.
He's also made outrageous statements, like only religious people can be "moral" people (tell that to the Taliban), and his railing against Hollywood is legendary. While in the end, I would probably support him over Bush, its with reservations I would not have for any of the other candidates (or General Clark, if he announces).
There you have it. Let's roll up our sleeves, ladies and gentlemen...
Comments
I’m guessing Clark will join the race. Maybe it was just a slip of the tongue, but check out this exchange with Wolf Blitzer from last Sunday (italics added):
--
BLITZER: And those Democrats, those nine other Democrats, don't have the leadership that you would bring to the table?
CLARK: I think the other people in this race are great people. Every person is different. I think that's really a question for the American people to answer, not for me.
--
The "other people in this race" bit would seem to imply he’s in, no?
Posted by Elton Beard at August 19, 2003 02:12 PM
I can't help but suspect Clark is campaigning for either a VP slot of Secretary of State in the Kerry administration... Meanwhile, I am heartsick you have left off my boy, Dennis Kucinich.
Request linking to my blog...
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Posted by Hugo Schwyzer at August 19, 2003 03:39 PM
I can't help but suspect Clark is campaigning for either a VP slot of Secretary of State in the Kerry administration... Meanwhile, I am heartsick you have left off my boy, Dennis Kucinich.
Request linking to my blog...
Cheers
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Posted by Hugo Schwyzer at August 19, 2003 03:39 PM
I can't help but suspect Clark is campaigning for either a VP slot of Secretary of State in the Kerry administration... Meanwhile, I am heartsick you have left off my boy, Dennis Kucinich.
Request linking to my blog...
Cheers
Hugo
Posted by Hugo Schwyzer at August 19, 2003 03:40 PM
I can't help but suspect Clark is campaigning for either a VP slot of Secretary of State in the Kerry administration... Meanwhile, I am heartsick you have left off my boy, Dennis Kucinich.
Request linking to my blog...
Cheers
Hugo
Posted by Hugo Schwyzer at August 19, 2003 03:43 PM
Well Clark does enjoy the name recognition of his wife, Kimberlee
Posted by D. O. Odyhead at August 19, 2003 04:31 PM
Well Clark does enjoy the name recognition of his wife, Kimberlee
Posted by D. O. Odyhead at August 19, 2003 04:31 PM
Well Clark does enjoy the name recognition of his wife, Kimberlee
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