the talking dog

December 2, 2003, How Do You Do It

Well, I had an interesting e-mail exchange recently with MadKane , not only about her new song parody "Oh What a Miserable Failure", but about how, no matter how much events should make George W. Bush hide in the White House (or in Crawford) and never ever come out, just iddy biddy bits of good news (a Medicare "reform" here, a good quarter's growth there) and suddenly "he's unbeatable". Why does Dubya seem to rise like a phoenix, no matter how discredited or even scorned he should be (see millions of lost jobs, record deficits, national existential angst, war where rate of American troop casualties is accelerating)? Just one little thing-- such as a two hour chicken shit appearance to "raise the morale" of a group of already gung ho soldiers in Baghdad-- and, ahem, Bush is unbeatable.

Well, it seems, its not just politicos themselves that seem to have this characteristic, but ideas as well. Dave Johnson of Seeing The Forest e-mails to send me his article on this phenomenon , most directly applied to the current issue of "tort reform" (and the concomitant attack on "trial lawyers", perceived as a key funding source for Democrats). It has been pointed by me (and others) that many of the "factual" bases for "tort reform" are, in fact, nonsense. Some of the recent developments, such as a national bill to cap medical malpractice "pain and suffering" awards to $250,000, regardless of how egregious the injury or the malpractice, bear no relation to reality. Most malpractice cases settle, and most settle for a lot less than $250,000. Of those that go to trial or verdict, doctors win the majority of cases.

The brilliant-p.r.-though-an-absolute-lie notion that somehow medical malpractice awards are the reason that the cost of health insurance continues to increase astronomically has, as Dave notes, become "conventional wisdom", even though ostensibly false. (For example, this study of health care costs notes that there are lots of reasons for the cost acceleration-- of which "litigation" driven factors are very minor when compared to the real reasons health care costs have gone up so dramatically: 1) the shift to managed care, 2) new technology, 3) the rise of new “blockbuster drugs”, 4) increasing consumer demand and rising incomes, 5) the aging population, and 6) increasing mandates and litigation. Litigation is, ahem, last-- hardly worthy of primary mention by the President of the United States in a State of the Union Speech as to what he'll do to reform health care, eh?).

Dave's article jumps out of just the issue of "tort reform" to note that the good old right wing has developed a well-organized set of policy and public relations shops that use various methods to get the word out (i.e. a few simple phrases) be it in straight advertising or in newscasters and commentators mouths to keep otherwise unpopular issues (such as... tort reform) alive and well (as well as well-funded). One example is school vouchers (full disclosure-- I actually favor vouchers myself, insofar as many African-American parents also favor them as a means of breaking out of an otherwise rigid and uncaring system). However, even in areas where vouchers have been voted down handily, the issue seems to live on. Another area addressed is the environmental movement, where the right just seems better organized, and in that case, frequently manages to push through otherwise wildly unpopular environmental law changes (usually relaxation of restrictions on polluters).

Dave's suggestion is that lefties develop our own network of think-tanks and public-relations and issue-driving shops, to combat the right's use of the same. To some extent, of course, such organizations already exist, and its a matter of focusing the right skills and energies to put out a coherent, popular message. (Well, the Unseen Editor has quipped that such a left-wing think-tank and policy shop already exists at the national level: its called The New York Times.) Either way, these days, the left is clearly being out-dueled in the battle for hearts and minds. See above re: blatant lies being accepted as absolute truth.

Well, its a fine idea. Certainly, there should be plenty of money around to do it- as many of the bigger philanthropists often lean left. I tend to agree- given how crass and uncompromising the Bushistas and the de Lays and the Frists are becoming, it seems that there is a full frontal ideological and political war going on out there, and maybe all angles-- including the "psy-ops" proposed by Dave should be explored, especially in the contexts of "political truth squads" on issues. With apologies to clothing merchant Sy Syms, perhaps, in the marketplace of ideas, the educated consumer is the best customer. Then again...


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Comments

A major figure lobbying for the medical malpractice caps is Maurice Greenberg, CEO of American International Group, one of the largest insurance groups in the world, and the third largest medical insurer in the United States. Greenberg is also a Bush "pioneer" having raised over a hundred thousand dollars for Bush's various campaigns. Greenberg and a group of his cronies moved in on Bush pretty quickly after 9-11 to make sure the federal government would bail them out in the face of overwhelming claims they didn't want to pay. Greenberg was also quoted as saying, in the run up to the war, that it would be good for business, "If you destroy things you have to rebuild them, and if you have to rebuild them you have to insure them."

Posted by chsa at December 2, 2003 07:09 PM

" Just one little thing-- such as a two hour chicken shit appearance to 'raise the morale' of a group of already gung ho soldiers in Baghdad-- and, ahem, Bush is unbeatable."

Um, Seth, on what actual polling data do you base this precipitous dash into pessimism?

Christ on a crutch! These guys aren't ten feet tall! What is this, a conditioned cringe response?

Posted by Patrick Nielsen Hayden at December 3, 2003 12:25 AM

Insurance rates are rising because the insurance companies took a real bath in the stock market. Their profits are heavily based on investment income, which went negative.

Malpractice insurance rates can be lowered by dumping, instead of covering for, incompetent medical personnel. As long as the medical community tries to hide its problems the rates will remain high.

Posted by Bryan at December 3, 2003 11:51 AM

Excellent points all.

Lookit-- I don't think Bush is "unbeatable" and that its time to throw up our hands in despair. I DO think it is a mistake to overlook why a large portion of the country kind of likes him, and is looking for any reason- good or not- to boost his popularity.

The country is somewhat more conservative than we would like to believe, and the electoral college skews it even worse.

Bush's handlers are intelligent, savvy players-- not infallible, of course-- but tough. The Republicans have party discipline; the Democrats do not.

He can be beaten-- but nothing short of a solid message from a great candidate will be required...


Posted by the talking dog at December 3, 2003 02:26 PM

The trip to Baghdad was not about anything but Bush. Nothing changed and nothing is any better because of the trip. The man is trying to drive his poll numbers up. period. The majority of Americans (70%) know that the war has not helped against Bin-Laden. You are dead on in your comments. The people will elect a Democrat if the right person with a clear message is there.

Posted by Steve at December 4, 2003 06:25 AM

The trip to Baghdad was not about anything but Bush. Nothing changed and nothing is any better because of the trip. The man is trying to drive his poll numbers up. period. The majority of Americans (70%) know that the war has not helped against Bin-Laden. You are dead on in your comments. The people will elect a Democrat if the right person with a clear message is there.

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