January 27, 2004, Kerry Wins
Well, no link... Kerry has prevailed, by a double digit (39-25%) lead over Howard Dean. The one scenario under which the Boston Dem convention made sense.
It could be over next week-- if, as UE suggests-- Kerry wins 6 of 7 contests-- even with a big Edwards win in South Carolina. We may have our nominee, boys and girls. (Kerry may then quickly make overtures to Edwards as veep).
The problem, of course, is that I can't stand the man. He is an opportunist; he voted against Gulf War I (when the wind blew that way for Dems), voted FOR Gulf War II, and now goes back on that vote... Ann Coulter said it: are the Democrats not man enough to even run a real coward?
Nope. Democrats are playing not to lose: at least in the two Lily White states that have voted so far, the decision has been made not to "risk" the man who most embodies our values-- and go for the guy who "looks Presidential". The shtick is that Kerry is "to the left of Teddy Kennedy". Nice line-- but nonsense, of course. More likely "to the right of Joe Lieberman". Even if he was Mike Dukakis' Lt. Gov.
No, the right wing attack machine is already telling us how this will be played. Democrats-- if this is who you think is the man who best suits your values and will be the best President, or whatever-- fine. If this is Kerry winning as "the man who can beat Bush"-- that's the surest path to a Bush reelection I can think of. We know what Dean stands for; ditto Edwards; ditto Lieberman. Clark? He's "a general". Kerry? He "looks presidential". Great. Bill Clinton of the North. This is what our party has become? We just want a winner, and don't care about much else?
I feel bad about Howard Dean. He's a good man, and doesn't deserve any of this. I don't see him recovering. Yes, I will support the Democratic nominee. But I won't be enthusiastic about it-- and I think a lot of people will feel that way.
Good night. A massive snowstorm here now, you know... NYC schools canceled tomorrow-- I don't think work will be in the offing...
Comments
Take heart - I heard on the tube that no Dem has ever won both Iowa & NH and gone on to win it all.
Posted by Ricky at January 27, 2004 11:26 PM
Two diverse small states with no majority winner, and people think it's over!
There are a lot of people who would like an opportunity to have their say, and they are the majority of voters.
I'm getting pretty damn sick of a handful of small states making decisions for me. Let the process continue.
Posted by Bryan at January 28, 2004 12:16 AM
Amen. I refuse to accept the verdict of sheep, obey the DNC/DLC line, or play into Rove's hands.
Posted by Opus at January 28, 2004 04:17 AM
Yeah the Democrats are pushing to win, this isn't a normal election this is Bush.
Keep on being idealistic and the Republican nexus will eat you alive.
Posted by vas at January 28, 2004 11:05 AM
Yeah the Democrats are pushing to win, this isn't a normal election this is Bush.
Keep on being idealistic and the Republican nexus will eat you alive.
Posted by vas at January 28, 2004 11:05 AM
Ricky--
Technically, the unopposed Bill Clinton won both in '96, and was elected President. I don't know if I am alone among liberals (what else is new) in having voted for Bob Dole and being very, very sorry he lost (but then, I'm often a classic character voter).
Bryan/Opus--
Right on. I'm kind of appalled that 1.5% of the country-- just states that pushed harder to be first-- get this undeserved power. I hope next week shows that real population centers can take some power back.
Vas--
No, "anybody but Bush" is, while a "feel good thought", in its fundamental sense, bullshit, if you actually want real change. We saw what "playing it safe" got us in 2002.
What good is replacing the Republican characterless spoiled richboy Bonesman Bush with his Democratic counterpart? Look: if Kerry is the real deal, he ain't shown it so far. Maybe with the "front runner" mantle, he'll feel free enough to tell us what he stands for. Dean has. Edwards has. Lieberman has. Gephardt had. Hell, Kucinich has. Only Kerry (and the scofflaw demagogue Sharpton) seem content to tell us feel good platitudes. I fear that Kerry won't tell us what he stands for, sadly for a pretty obvious reason.
Posted by the talking dog (voice over) at January 28, 2004 12:05 PM
Carter won Iowa and NH in '76, then won the WH. He was the last of either party in a competitive race to do so.
Dean is a victim of the laziness of the Press, and a few of his own excesses.
Since he was critical of Shrub when no one else was, they paint him as an extreme leftist when he's really quite mainstream. This got people thinking he couldn't win in Nov. Then a few verbal miscues and one Barabaric Yawp made him look like too much of a loose cannon.
I thought that his fiscal conservatism and pro-gun policies would let Dean reposition himself in the general election as a real moderate.
BTW: There's only one viable candidate talking primarily about traditional Democratic issues like the widening gap between rich and poor, and the 36 million Americans living in poverty, and it ain't Dean or Kerry.
Posted by William Burton at January 29, 2004 12:15 AM
Carter won Iowa and NH in '76, then won the WH. He was the last of either party in a competitive race to do so.
Dean is a victim of the laziness of the Press, and a few of his own excesses.
Since he was critical of Shrub when no one else was, they paint him as an extreme leftist when he's really quite mainstream. This got people thinking he couldn't win in Nov. Then a few verbal miscues and one Barabaric Yawp made him look like too much of a loose cannon.
I thought that his fiscal conservatism and pro-gun policies would let Dean reposition himself in the general election as a real moderate.
BTW: There's only one viable candidate talking primarily about traditional Democratic issues like the widening gap between rich and poor, and the 36 million Americans living in poverty, and it ain't Dean or Kerry.
Posted by William Burton at January 29, 2004 12:15 AM
Carter won Iowa and NH in '76, then won the WH. He was the last of either party in a competitive race to do so.
Dean is a victim of the laziness of the Press, and a few of his own excesses.
Since he was critical of Shrub when no one else was, they paint him as an extreme leftist when he's really quite mainstream. This got people thinking he couldn't win in Nov. Then a few verbal miscues and one Barabaric Yawp made him look like too much of a loose cannon.
I thought that his fiscal conservatism and pro-gun policies would let Dean reposition himself in the general election as a real moderate.
BTW: There's only one viable candidate talking primarily about traditional Democratic issues like the widening gap between rich and poor, and the 36 million Americans living in poverty, and it ain't Dean or Kerry.
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