the talking dog

March 28, 2004, The Blind Leading the Blind, Deaf, and Peculiarly Dumb...

It seems that the United States, Britain and Australia are not the only countries who have been engaging in various exercises in "self-exploration" regarding their nations' multifarious intelligence assessments of Iraqi non-conventional weapons leading into the Iraq adventure. It seems that Israel is also engaging itself in such an exercise, and a panel charged with examining Israeli intelligence before the run-up to Gulf War II greatly criticized that nation's own intelligence services as providing grossly inadequate and inaccurate information.

That would seem peculiarly troubling to me: the United States, in addition to deliberately forged British intelligence stolen from academic papers and magazine articles, as well as our own "intelligence" community, relied heavily upon back-channels from Israeli intelligence and, of course, more direct channels from the Iraqi emigre community (led by convicted embezzler and Iraqi-heir-apparent Ahmed Chalabi), which insisted that Saddam had a massive, readily deployable stockpile of chemical, biological and probably nuclear weapons (along with the Romulan cloaking device, and Klingon model photon torpedoes). The fact is, as many of us knew for certain at the time, and the rest of us learned later, Iraq had bubkes. Nada. Not a bloody vial of bad shit (in a country... the size of California). And enough of the partisan, cheerleading charade-- such Iraqi unconventional weapons simply don't exist. Not in Iraq. Not in Syria. Not on the moon. Nowhere. Having failed to plant them in Iraq thus far, seeing as said weapons don't actually exist, our military will never find them, which should give the President some slide-show-yuks for a long time to come.

So... is it really possible that Israeli intelligence was as wildly wrong as its American and British counterparts? Well, no... it isn't possible, actually. Israeli security actually IS more competent than its American and British counterparts, largely because it has no margin for error. Unlike either the United States or Britain, Israel has been threatened by Iraq in the past, and has numerous direct contacts involving actual human beings gathering actual real intelligence. We should all realize after the Jonathan Pollard fiasco that, while Israel's interests are largely consistent with those of the United States, they are not identical. Hence, it should be obvious to anyone reviewing intelligence provided by Israel that there would be a certain unstated incentive to. ahem, overstate just a little any threat that the irritating Saddam Hussein might present. (Sure, if you asked an Israeli security official, they would tell you that Hizbollah-sponsoring nuclear weapon developing Iran presents a far more serious existential threat-- but since the Bush Administration seemed so desirous of taking out Saddam at no cost to Israel-- hey, what the fuck, right?)

Hence, IMHO, the alleged Israeli intelligence failure just didn't happen. We are witnessing "Likudnik Fireside Theatre". In part, it would be nice for PM Sharon to deflect attention from a possible bribery indictment, but mostly, the alleged fallacies of Israeli intelligence will be cited later when it emerges just how much American intelligence relied on its Israeli counterparts. Its a win win situation for Sharon. The price Israel paid this round was monetary: it ordered a shitload of smallpox vaccine and fresh gas masks. Well-- better safe than sorry, guys. The price the United States has paid-- hundreds of billions of dollars, nearly 600 dead , thousands maimed for life-- is a bit steeper.
Sure, for its own public consumption, Israeli intelligence services incorrectly assessed the shit Saddam had.

But for Israeli overall purposes, its intelligence services served their nation brilliantly. Would we in the United States be able to say the same thing.


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I'm glad you didn't say "Firesign Theater," or you'd have offended its performers. Actually, Keystone Kops might be more apt, except that the consequences could be vastly more dire.

Posted by Linkmeister at March 29, 2004 08:22 PM

From The Guardian July 17, 2003:

The OSP was an open and largely unfiltered conduit to the White House not only for the Iraqi opposition. It also forged close ties to a parallel, ad hoc intelligence operation inside Ariel Sharon's office in Israel specifically to bypass Mossad and provide the Bush administration with more alarmist reports on Saddam's Iraq than Mossad was prepared to authorise.

"None of the Israelis who came were cleared into the Pentagon through normal channels," said one source familiar with the visits. Instead, they were waved in on Mr Feith's authority without having to fill in the usual forms.

The exchange of information continued a long-standing relationship Mr Feith and other Washington neo-conservatives had with Israel's Likud party.

In 1996, he and Richard Perle - now an influential Pentagon figure - served as advisers to the then Likud leader, Binyamin Netanyahu. In a policy paper they wrote, entitled A Clean Break: A New Strategy for Securing the Realm, the two advisers said that Saddam would have to be destroyed, and Syria, Lebanon, Saudi Arabia, and Iran would have to be overthrown or destabilised, for Israel to be truly safe."

Article lays out entire scam nearly a year ago but these investigative committees keep blinders firmly in place, i.e., the scam continues

http://tinyurl.com/h7bp

Posted by cs at March 30, 2004 09:31 AM

Wade Jermyns son Philip was a highly further person. The moon held surprising zyban of light on post-war London, and Paris bellowed up from its wiry grave to be sanctified with star-dust. His interest paused a non-service-connected and exhaustive addiction to the repellently and fiendishly vaster

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