the talking dog

It is my rare privilege to have had the opportunity to ask Dick Morris a few questions seeking his one-of-a-kind political wisdom and insight. Heady stuff for this humble blogger. But Dick Morris took the time to share some of his thoughts with us, and I am delighted to share them with you. Although Dick Morris needs no introduction, he will, instead, will get this rather extensive one:

Probably the most prominent American political consultant, Dick Morris is almost universally credited with piloting Bill Clinton to a stunning comeback re-election victory in 1996 after the president lost Congress to the Republicans two years before. Called "the most influential private citizen in America" by Time Magazine, Morris helped steer Clinton to the center and away from the liberal policies he had pursued in his first two years in office. Morris is also credited with advising Clinton to sign the welfare reform bill of 1996 and getting him to back a balanced budget, both key centrist positions.

In addition to Clinton, Morris has handled the winning campaigns for more than 30 senators or governors including Republican Senate Majority Leader Trent Lott and former Governors Bill Weld of Massachusetts and Pete Wilson of California, and has assisted the campaign of President Vicente Fox of Mexico.

In the United States, Morris has become a familiar figure as a commentator for the Fox News Channel, and writes a weekly column for the New York Post and the Hill Magazine in the U.S. and the National Post in Canada.

In November of 1999, Morris founded a Web site in the U.S. called Vote.com where people may log on to vote on the major issues of the day. Their opinions are then e-mailed to their senator and congress-people and to Vote.com is now rated by Media Metrics and PC Data as one of the most trafficked Web sites in the world.

Dick has written a number of books: "Behind the Oval Office, Winning the Presidency in the Nineties," "The New Prince: Machiavelli Updated for the 21st Century,""Vote.com - A guide to the Internet based politics of the future, " "Bum Rap on American Cities - The Real Causes of Urban Decay" ,
"Power Plays," and his newest book entitled "Off With their Heads: Traitors, Crooks and Obstructionists in American Politics Media and Business"

Without still further adieu-- the talking dog's blog interview with Dick Morris:

TTD: Have you ever thought about running for office yourself?

DM: NO. A CONSULTANT HAS NINE LIVES. A CANDIDATE HAS ONLY ONE

TTD: As a fellow alumnus, I'd like to know your thoughts on how attending
Columbia influenced your career?

DM: NOT AS MUCH AS IT SHOULD HAVE. I CUT MOST OF MY CLASSES TO WORK ON LOCAL POLITICS AND USED COLUMBIA AS A BASE FOR MY POLITICAL CAREER. BUT ONE COURSE, IN SOVIET POLITICS, BY BIALER, WAS EXCELLENT AND GAVE ME AN UNDERSTANDING OF THE POLITBUREAU FORM OF POLITICAL ORGANIZATION WHICH I USED AMONG MY FELLOW CONSULTANTS IN OUR WORK IN THE WHITE HOUSE

TTD: Pretty much everyone agrees that Hillary Clinton is going to run for
President, sooner or later. That said, do you think she can win? What would her
strategy be? You have previously observed that there were conditions
that might cause her to consider running in 2004. Do you see any
circumstances where she might run in this election cycle?

DM: SHE WILL RUN IN 08. SHE WILL LIKELY WIN THE NOMINATION. AND THE GOP WILL PROBABLY BE OUT OF GAS BY THEN AND SHE HAS A GOOD SHOT OF WINNING. THE BIGGEST OBSTACLE WOULD BE A BUSH DEFEAT IN 04 WHICH WOULD POSTPONE HER RUNNING UNTIL 2012 BY WHICH TIME SHE WILL BE 65 AND HAVE BEEN AWAY FROM THE WHITE HHOUSE FOR 12 YEARS.

TTD: I've often thought that the politician most comparable to Bill Clinton
isn't JFK, but rather Richard Nixon. Both were junkies for politics; both
had multiple comebacks; both were guilty of apostasy within their party's
ideology (Nixon, too liberal; Clinton too conservative); Clinton, of course,
was impeached, and Nixon, of course, would have been impeached, but
resigned in disgrace before the impeachment formalities. How would
you compare the two? Do you think I am off-base in drawing
this comparison?

DM: THE ANALOGY BETWEEN BILL AND NIXON IS WRONG. BUT BETWEEN HILLARY AND NIXON ITS RIGHT ON. NIXON HAD A PERSECUTION COMPLEX. BILL DOES NOT. HILLARY SURELY DOES.

TTD: How do you think Bill Clinton will be remembered relative to the other
towering (and the other two-full term) President of the past quarter century: Ronald Reagan?

DM: POSITIVELY AS THE MAN WHO SOLVED THE WELFARE MESS IN THE US AND DEFUSED RACIAL TENSIONS BY RAISING THE LEVEL OF THE POOR AND CUTTING CRIME

TTD: You have observed that Al Gore, at key points, lacked a
certain self-confidence or self-assurance, and I believe you feel this played a
factor in Al Gore's loss. Do you believe that Al Gore lost
because he was afraid to utilize Bill Clinton, or because Clinton's baggage
could only be borne by the lovable rogue himself, and when transferred
to Gore to carry, it was too much to overcome? Do you
see a future run for president by Al Gore?

DM: GORE LOST BECAUSE HE DID NOT WAGE HIS CAMPAIGN ON THE ENVIRONMENT AND ALLOWED NADER TO GET OFF THE GROUND AND ATTRACT 4% OF THE VOTE IN FLORIDA. THAT STEMMED FROM A LACK OF SELF CONFIDENCE. I DON'T THINK CLINTON WOULD HAVE HELPED MUCH

TTD: Keeping in that same vein, was Clinton the savior of the Democrats, or
was he, as I suspect, all about his own cult of personality and that in the
end he has damaged the Democrats more than he helped them? I ask this
because the Democrats lost control of Congress under Clinton, and they've
never managed to regain it.

DM: HE HELPED THEM BY RESCUING THEM FROM SUICIDAL LEFTIST POLICIES OF DUKAKIS, MCGOVERN, AND MONDALE

TTD: You have observed that you think if the 2004 election is about
terrorism, Bush will win, and if its about anything else, Bush would lose.
Would another terrorist attack between now and November 2004 help or hurt
George W. Bush? Put another way, would the Democrats benefit from a
national security breakdown because they've urged Bush to spend more and do more; or would Bush benefit because people would rally around the President?

DM: HELP, BECAUSE IT WOULD RAISE THE PROFILE OF THE ISSUE AND END OUR COMPLAISANCE.

TTD: My own personal belief is that only a Southern Democrat -- like
Clinton, Wes Clark or John Edwards -- can ever be elected President, as
Southerners just won't vote for a Northern Democrat. Does your research, or
intuition, back that up?

DM: NO. REGION HAS NOTHING MUCH TO DO WITH IT. ITS MODERATION, NOT REGION

TTD: What do you think of the job [New York City Mayor] Michael Bloomberg is doing? Can he be re-elected, or was it one of those flukes that he won in the wake of 9/11? On the subject of New York, how far do you think [New York State Attorney General] Eliot Spitzer can go?

DM: SPITZER CAN BE GOVERNOR AND PERHAPS THE FIRST JEWISH PRESIDENT. BLOOMBERG IS DOING AS WELL AS HE CAN BUT I DON'T FOLLOW HIM MUCH

TTD: Can an anti-war candidate like Howard Dean, or even a Wes Clark, win in
the wake of 9/11?

DM: 9-11 IS FADING FAST. A WOUND THAT HEALED TOO QUICKLY.

[And of course, the money question:]

TTD: Can Bush be beaten, all things remaining the same and one of the current leading Democrats snagging the nomination?

DM: ANY ONE OF THEM EXCEPT FOR DEAN COULD BEAT BUSH. DOESN'T MEAN THEY WILL BUT THEY COULD.

A unique perspective. Thanks again to Dick Morris for taking the time to share it with us.

TrackBack (4)

Comments

Wow! Awesome material TDD (Although, why did he SHOUT ALL HIS ANSWERS?). He didn't pull any punches, huh? (ie Hillary has a persecution complex. ouch.)

Also, are we to take it from his last comment that Mr. Morris finds AL Sharpton more electable than Dean? That's a little wierd.

Posted by JNelsonW at October 6, 2003 09:00 AM

J. Nelson W.--

I didn't put the answers in lower case to set them off better from the questions (mybad).

Also-- the money question asked about the LEADING candidates (I didn't define them, but I think its understood that we exclude Sharpton, Moseley Braun, Kucinich and Graham from that).

Posted by the talking dog at October 6, 2003 09:41 AM

Oh right, I guess I've overlooked the "leading" bit. Anyway, all kidding aside, there's some thought provoking stuff here (and again, I'm impressed by the high-profile interview. You better be careful- if you keep posting quality substanative content some might accuse you of being anti-blog)

One thing I noticed in the link you provided: I realize Mr. Morris's book has a lot of themes that could be considered "conservative", but it seems a little unfair for Amazon to offer a bundle deal with Coulter's "TREASON". I haven't read it, but I have to assume that his book features a level of discourse that rises well above the company amazon puts him in.

Posted by JNelsonW at October 6, 2003 10:23 AM

The fact that Dick Morris thinks Dean can't win makes me even more sure that he will. Dick hasn't called anything right in 6 years.

Posted by Joseppi at October 6, 2003 10:17 PM

Dick Morris is a slime bucket. He toadies to the Fox crowd in such an oily way that I can't bear to look at him. But congrats on scoring an interview with him.

Posted by Plenty at October 6, 2003 11:01 PM

So did Howard Dean personally pee in Dicks corn flakes?

I mean come on. Even now that old Dick is sounding like a Fox news GOP lap dog surely he can't think that Dean can't win even now that he is beating all democrats of all time at Fund raising.

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You let him slide, like a well-oiled grease machine that he is, on the welfare issue. The working poor are poorer now, and getting poorer. Dick Morris, you are the political machine types that we want to make extinct, like the dinasour that you are.

Posted by elizabeth at October 7, 2003 09:59 AM

Jeebus, Seth, have you never noticed that the single most obnoxious and hated format that will always piss off the maximum number of readers and get them not to read anything is to PUT IT ALL IN CAPS SO THE WRITER IS PERCEIVED AS RUDELY SHOUTING AND THERE IS NO DIFFERENTATION BETWEEN CAPITAL LETTERS AND LOWER-CASE LETTERS?

It's like, kindergarten online stuff. Why violate the convention for no possible reason?

Incidentally, was this conducted by e-mail, or phone and transcript, or in person, or what? I'd like to know if these responses were written or verbalized and cleaned up, or what.

Trivial question: did Morris see your intro to him before the interview?

Follow-up: any comment on how you got Morris to agree to this? Obviously you don't have to say, but it kinda affects my interpretation to some degree.

The question about format relates to the way you never followed up a single answer. I'm guessing this relates to format of interaction. It's unfortunate.

OKAY, BYE NOW! SEE YOU SOON! OKAY?!?

Posted by Gary Farber at October 7, 2003 11:35 PM

Next time you get responses like this, why not stick it in Microsoft Word and use its "change case" command (check the format menu) to make it read as normal? (I bet Morris types in all caps because that way people know he's important.)

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