January 18, 2004, Iowa Fun... Early Sunday Afternoon
The Daily Kos relays us this latest Zogby tracking poll: Kerry 24.4%, Dean 23.1%, Gephardt 18.8%, Edwards 18.4%, which, aside from showing an even tighter race than the already tight Des Moines register poll, puts Edwards down where I kind of thought he would be, though if Gephardt only takes third in Iowa, he's done (please God-- I'm sure he's a nice guy, and I actually like him, but will be PLEASE get out of this race?)
Another Iowa blogger's perspective comes from Kevin Schmidt of the Nine Dwarves blog , who seems to be down on Dean and Kerry; he's got a very amusing piece on a dumpster behind Dean's Des Moines headquarters.
My own (probably worthless) observations? Dean cannot finish fourth, or he will not recover; Kerry now has to come in second or better-- or at least a dead heat for second; Gephardt has to come in a strong second or better; Edwards has just put himself on the map; Clark did well to stay out of this-- or he
will suffer from the same expectational problems. I don't think Iowa will "make" any candidate (unless Edwards somehow wins), but it can harpoon at least one candidate, and possibly two. Stay tuned!
Comments
tempest in a teapot, means absolutely nothing, electainment, red herring, let's focus on Iowa and let the BushCo do business as usual.
Superbowl Sunday's coming up, afterward, March madness.
9oh and 500 plus dead in Iraq, and several, what? thousand? wounded.
Posted by degustibus at January 18, 2004 12:59 PM
DeGustibus:
Yes and no. Democracy is messy-- so to the extent the Bush-friendly media is focusing on Democrats AT ALL, even if its to mock and take them down some pegs, its still a good thing.
And let's take a look at what BushCo is focusing on now: MARS landers and silver anniversary MOON shots! They won't even talk about the fact that even their own "June sovereignty transfer" won't happen (btw 20 more dead at a car bombing near CPA hq-- we can't even protect THAT!!!)
BTW, the figures I have seen lately are NOT a 1:10 dead to wounded ratio, but closer to 1:20, so we have around 10,000 Americans maimed for life so Bush could show the world that his penis is larger than Saddam Hussein's, or whatever the war motivation was BESIDES WMD's, terror ties, or liberating the Iraqi people (all of which have been proven to be... lies.)
I see no alternative to this messy political process: the good guys need the rough and tumble of a tough preliminary schedule to give us a candidate capable of surviving some fur flying, because its the only path to taking out the current regime in Washington (the Bushistas play rough, as you know). In this case, whichever candidate emerges from all this will be stronger for it.
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