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Democracy these days seems to be quite dangerous, sometimes even literally a call to violence (perhaps reminding one of the quip regarding a former loyalty oath given to inducted U.S. service personnel, where one of the questions was "Do you support the overthrow of the United States government by force or violence?" and a bemused new soldier answered "violence"). But I digress, because I don't even want to think about the fact that Taiwanese President Chen Shui-bian and Vice-President Annette Lu have both been shot (not fatally, and neither is in critical condition) during a rally in Tainan in Southern Taiwan just one day before a national election there. (Chen was shot in the stomach, and Lu in the knee).

Obviously, Taiwan has upgraded its security status, including security around the opposition candidate. To some, this election might be seen as a referendum on Taiwanese independence, which, although a fact on the ground for nearly sixty years, is the political status that dare not speak its name, lest the autocrats in Beijing decide to go for broke and attack Taiwan. I regard this talk of violent reunification of the "renegade province" as more bluster than reality these days, given that Taiwan is a key source of capital and technical know-how for the Mainland, and (1) attacking Taiwan might destroy that, (2) there is no guarantee that the Mainland would win such an attack against armed-to-the teeth-Taiwan-fighting-on-its-home-field (even if one is not certain that the United States would assist in Taiwan's defense) and (3) the bluster itself ably serves the Mainland's own purposes of keeping jingoistic nationalism stirred up among a potentially discontented populace.

Unlike the Mainland, however, Taiwan is a vibrant, successful democracy, and if our rhetoric meant a God damned thing, that fact alone would kind of make it worthy of our unconditional support against the dictators across the Taiwan Straits. Of course, the Bush policies of perma-deficits require someone to buy our bonds, and right now, that someone is largely the PRC's Central Bank... but what do I know?

While Bush likes to say that the 9-11 attacks were somehow "an attack on democracy", I submit that the shootings of a democratic nation's top two leaders the day before an election is much more something that qualifies as that; by contrast, 9-11 was more of an attack on humanity, the Great Satan, and the biggest buildings in a city with a lot of Jews.

As to the Chen and Lu shootings, I can't even guess at what this was about-- some Mainland plot? A rival party? A rogue faction within Chen's own party? A random nut? Al Qaeda? The Bush Administration? (Ah-- why did I throw in that last one? No, no-- even I don't believe that one.)

Well, you see, the election in Taiwan will almost certainly go on, despite the shootings, just as the election in Spain went on despite the Madrid bombings (it is even unclear if Chen will get any kind of sympathy vote). The precedent in the United States-- the 9-11 attacks took place the same day as a New York mayoral primary, that primary then being moved back two weeks (understandable and necessary, though unfortunate)-- is more problematic. Of course after his beatification a bit later, St. Rudy Giuliani tried to further atack democracy by asking that his term be extended. So the American precedent-- albeit not necessarily "on point", is not as sunny.

In the event of another 9-11 type attack here in the days before the November election, I am not quite as certain that our election would go forward as scheduled... That, of course, would be an attack on our democracy. But it would be an attack from within-- the way our democracy has been attacked lo these last 2 1/2 years in all quarters, by... I'll let you all guess (Hint: the answer is not Osama bin Laden or Saddam Hussein).

TrackBack (0)

Comments

TD,
The Spanish election should have been postponed, and one could argue for postponing the Taiwanese election as well. There is no requirement in democracy that an election be held on a certain day, and disasters, natural or man-made, can justify a temporary adjournment--particularly when they will so clearly influence the outcome. As to all your conspiracy theories, weren't you in a bad movie with Mel Gibson and Julia Roberts?
Harry--Stop referencing Shakespeare.

Posted by Senor Rick at March 19, 2004 11:56 AM

There should be a mandatory "cooling off" period when there has been any event or events which roil the public emotions. Elections were intended to be rational informed choices not mob hysteria.

Posted by Sarah at March 19, 2004 04:29 PM

Given in to the hysteria generated by unbalanced right wingers is mistake! Media distortion of tragedies is designed to sell advertising and creepy little infringements of civil liberties. "Cooling off period" is a load of hooey. There will always be a state of emergency somewhere. If it's not gay marriage, it's hip hop concerts.

Quit projecting your jelly-kneed insecurities and paranoia on people who love democracy. Get a grip, Senator Santorum, and let go of that dog. Authority worship and servile obedience is for losers.

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Hey TD,
Was that you and Harry walking arm in arm here in Gotham today, protesting the war? Is that why there was no posting today? War's over, baby. Didn't you see Bush on the aircraft carrier? And Harry, get your own bitch. Because, in the gas station of love, you are in the Self-Serve lane.

Posted by Senor Rick at March 20, 2004 04:57 PM

"there is no guarantee that the Mainland would win such an attack against armed-to-the teeth-Taiwan-fighting-on-its-home-field"

Given the example of Israel, I have to agree.

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